Content №5 от 2010

Basic trends in economic studies of energy development in Russia's eastern regions

The paper shows what objectives the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences pursued by establishment of the Siberian Energy Institute in Irkutsk, and how the Institute’s research tasks transformed over the past 50 years.

Saneev B. G. saneev@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: Russian Academy of Sciences Siberian Branch economy institute energy sector

Eastern vector - a priority direction of Russia's energy development in the first half of the 21st century

The paper overviews the first steps of Melentyev Energy Systems Institute SB RAS and its progress in regional energy studies; what researches were made under a new economic situation; and what studies concerning the energy sector development in the eastern regions of Russia were conducted.

Saneev B. G. saneev@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: regional energy studies eastern vector of the energy policy stages mechanisms Siberia phases

Capacity of energy markets in the countries of Northeast Asia for Russian energy resources

We analyze a current situation on energy markets in the countries of Northeast Asia, and we present our economic forecast of these markets as well as possible market capacity for Russian fuel and energy resources for the period till 2030.

Popov S. P. popov@aperc.ieej.or.jp

Sokolov D. A. sokolov@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: countries of Northeast Asia energy markets commercial and public efficiency export energy consumption import fuel and energy resources

Complex development of territories - a major direction of accelerated economy and energy development inRussia's East

The paper considers the issues of prospective socio-economic development in the eastern part of Russia in the context of building energy complexes and a regional resource base in East Siberia and the Far East. We present our assessment of contribution such complexes made to a rapid economic growth in the eastern regions.

Korneyev A. G. korn@isem.sei.irk.ru

Agafonov G. V. gleb@isem.sei.irk.ru

Malov V. Yu. malov@ieie.nsc.ru

Vorobieva V. V. valvas@ieie.nsc.ru

Keywords: socio-economic development scenarios socio-economic development scenarios energy sector anti-crisis programs incomes resource potential

Prices of energy resources of Eastern regions: current state and changes in the context of the Russian and world trends

The authors present their forecast of changing market prices for energy carriers, which could be observed in the regions of Siberia and the Far East, assuming the economic situation on the world’s oil markets and the prices covering self-repayment of gas, coal and black oil production.

Kononov Iu. D. kononov@isem.sei.irk.ru

Kononov Yu. D. dima@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: Siberia Far East Siberia Far East prices energy markets forecasts trends

Energy markets in Russia: role and place of eastern regions

We present our forecast of supply and demand for fuel and energy in Russia for the first half the XXI century. We show what role the eastern regions would play in Russian production and consumption of fuel and energy resources, and what dynamics and structure of energy resources export to the European part of Russia and abroad could be observed.

Saneev B. G. saneev@isem.sei.irk.ru

Lagerev A. V. lagerev@isem.sei.irk.ru

Khanaeva V. N. hanaeva@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: energy markets region energy markets energy consumption commercial and public efficiency

Structural changes in the perspective fuel and energy balances

The paper considers methodological issues of how perspective fuel and energy balances can be drawn up and applied to the eastern regions of Russia. The structural transformations which could take place due to the energy industries progress in these regions are analyzed.

Saneev B. G. saneev@isem.sei.irk.ru

Sokolov A. D. sokolov@isem.sei.irk.ru

Muzychuk S. Yu. muz@isem.sei.irk.ru

Muzychuk R. I. rmuz@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: eastern regions socio-economic development Far East energy consumption methodology strategy energy consumption

Priorities and prospects for power industry development

The paper shows the structural transformations which could take place in power production in East Siberia and the Far East over the period until 2030; an extent of generating capacities; and demand for fuel and investments required for further development of power plants and networks. Our calculations were made within the framework of two development scenarios for this macro-region.

Lagerev A. V. lagerev@isem.sei.irk.ru

Khanaeva V. N. hanaeva@isem.sei.irk.ru

Smirnov K. S. k.smirnov@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: Eastern Siberia Far East anti-crisis programs electrical energy industry East Siberia assessment the Far East

Prospects for heat economy development

We analyze a state of affairs in heat supply available to customers in regions of the Siberian and Far East Federal Districts, and we assess the prospects of its improvement. We also present our forecast of heat energy production and consumption balances. We also offer the innovations which would allow overcoming negative trends on the way of modernization.

Stennikov V. A. sva@isem.sei.irk.ru

Dobrovolskaya T. V. makarova@isem.sei.irk.ru

Edeleva O. A. edel@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: heat supply heat suppliers fuel supply heat sources heat network development tendencies strategic priorities

Directions of coal industry development

The paper describes an economic situation in coal industry of the East of Russia, i.e. the coal production, reserves, supply and consumption as well as the problems, priorities and development goals of this sector. Having formulated a prospective demand for coal, we show how the coal industry could develop in this region over the period till 2030.

Sokolov A. D. sokolov@isem.sei.irk.ru

Takaishvili L. N. luci@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: coal production consumption anti-crisis programs production reserves and resources Eastern Siberia Far East

Directions in enhancement of decentralized power supply efficiency

We analyze the specifics and problems of decentralized power supply in the eastern regions of Russia, as well as development preconditions and problems of a small energy sector. We also discuss under what conditions a decentralized power supply zone could be enlarged to remain effective; under what conditions the local fuel consumption becomes more effective; and whether more extensive use of low-power nuclear stations would benefit. We offer our recommendations on promoting a small energy sector.

Tuguzova T. F. tuguzova@isem.sei.irk.ru

Ivanova I. Iu. nord@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: decentralized consumers depreciation of equipment reduced fuel consumption reconstruction modernization reconstruction modernization efficient variant competitiveness

Renewable natural energy resources: potential and prospects for utilization

We analyze potentials of renewable resources available in the eastern regions of Russia, and we assess how effective to decentralized consumers such resources could be. Zones of reasonable location of renewable resources and possible volumes of their use in the east of Russia are shown.

Ivanova I. Iu. nord@isem.sei.irk.ru

Tuguzova T. F. tuguzova@isem.sei.irk.ru

Khalgaeva N. A. khalgaeva@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: potential renewable resources small hydro stations wind-driven power plant solar heat systems photoelectric transducers geo-thermal power stations assessment efficiency

Energy supply to the Baikal environmental zone

We present our zoning of the Baikal natural area as environmental areas, the way how such areas could be provided with energy, and how the central area and its parts could be supplied with power through combining external and local energy resources.

Koshelev A. A. koshelev@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: Baikal Lake Baikal natural area zoning ecology zoning ecology

Budget efficiency ofenergydevelopment .

We assess budgetary efficiency of a fuel and energy complex in the East of Russia. And we compare two sources of investments required for development of this complex – from budgets of all levels and taxes paid by the complex to relative budgets.

Korneyev A. G. korn@isem.sei.irk.ru

Tsapakh A. S. tsapakh@isem.sei.irk.ru

Bobkov K. A. BobkovKA@vcng.ru

Keywords: Far East electrical energy industry coal industry Far East of Russia dynamics economy fuel and energy resources fiscal policy

Priority directions ofenergysaving andmechanisms oftheirimplementation

We consider key provisions of the strategic initiatives on higher efficiency of power produced in the eastern regions of Russia. We assess sectoral potentials and offer the priority ways of energy saving. We also show that renewable energy sources could make the fuel consumption lower in the eastern region of Russia. Organizational and institutional background as well as a technology policy concerning energy saving are considered.

Stennikov V. A. sva@isem.sei.irk.ru

Sokolov A. D. sokolov@isem.sei.irk.ru

Sokolov P. A. tramp@isem.sei.irk.ru

Tuguzova T. F. tuguzova@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: energy saving energy consumption Far East power efficiency fuel and energy complex energy saving potential modernization priorities

Problems and mechanisms of environmental policy implementationforfuel and energycomplexdevelopment

The paper identifies and assesses environmental impacts of the fuel and energy complex operating in the East of Russia. Key priorities of the environmental policy and its appropriate mechanisms required for developing the energy sector in this region are presented.

Saneev B. G. saneev@isem.sei.irk.ru

Maysyuk Ye. P. maysyuk@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: energy sector power industry oil-and-gas complex environmental activities

Energy security problems and methods for theirsolution

We present an approach to assess energy security in the units of the Russian Federation which combines the instruments of monitoring and indicative analysis and which was developed by Melentyev Energy Systems Institute SB RAS. The assessment was made through comparing the actual values of key indicators with those set by experts and being threshold ones. An integrated quantitative assessment of the macro-regional energy security as well problems of different regions are also presented. This can allow finding the ways of ameliorating the situation.

Senderov S. M. ssm@isem.sei.irk.ru

Smirnova E. M. alenaru@isem.sei.irk.ru

Keywords: energy security fuel supply energy sector fuel supply regions of East Siberia and the Far East indicative analysis

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