Search by keyword: socio-economic development
Energy Consumption under Uncertainty: Methodical Approach
The paper offers an approach to assessing a demand for fuel to make a long-term forecast of the opportunities of regional energy markets under uncertainty. A peculiarity of the approach is application of the optimization model and Monte-Carlo method. To show what would bring this approach, we present our results obtained by the application of the technique proposed to assessing the price elasticity of demand for gas observed at the new and large heating plants of several Russian regions.
Galperova Ie. V. galper@isem.sei.irk.ru
Keywords: socio-economic development energy consumption long-term forecast banks regional energy markets demand
The role of the energy sector in the socio-economic development of the Baikal region
Having analyzed a current economic situation in the Baikal region, we can state that the region falls behind other Russian regions on average. The development of the regional fuel and energy complex is considered of the highest priority. We present our forecasts of the levels of energy consumption and related volumes of energy production in the region which could allow improving the regional fuel and energy balance and socio-economic indicators. This also allows the higher tax revenues in the region.
Saneev B. G. saneev@isem.sei.irk.ru
Sokolov A. D. sokolov@isem.sei.irk.ru
Korneyev A. G. korn@isem.sei.irk.ru
Muzychuk S. Yu. muz@isem.sei.irk.ru
Keywords: Baikal region energy sector socio-economic development socio-economic development energy consumption methodology economy fuel and energy resources
Structural changes in the perspective fuel and energy balances
The paper considers methodological issues of how perspective fuel and energy balances can be drawn up and applied to the eastern regions of Russia. The structural transformations which could take place due to the energy industries progress in these regions are analyzed.
Saneev B. G. saneev@isem.sei.irk.ru
Sokolov A. D. sokolov@isem.sei.irk.ru
Muzychuk S. Yu. muz@isem.sei.irk.ru
Muzychuk R. I. rmuz@isem.sei.irk.ru
Keywords: eastern regions socio-economic development Far East energy consumption methodology strategy energy consumption
