Search by keyword: mortality

Demographic Situation in Siberia against the Background of All-Russian Trends

The article examines the demographic situation in Siberia and Russia which has improved since 2006, after a long period of depopulation: birth rate is growing, life expectancy is rising, and natural increase has become positive. These are the first successful steps towards overcoming the demographic crisis. Still, birth rate, although positively increasing, is far from that of the late 1980s. According to the data for 2011, it makes only 75% of population replacement. We define the main obstacles preventing future childbirth figures from growing and underline that in order to further overcome the demographic crisis, a family with 3–4 children should become a goal for demographic policy in Russia. Such a family should acquire the largest economic and moral support from the government and the society

Soboleva S. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Keywords: Kyrgyz Republic Siberian Federal District demographic policy depopulation demographic potential mortality risks Russia

Exogenous and endogenous determination of mortality in the Siberian Federal District

The paper analyzes the life expectances in the SFD regions by applying the ideas of exogenous and endogenous determination of mortality. The data of recent years concerning death rates arranged by their associated major sets of causes of death showed a positive dynamics in most cases. An average age at death among the SFD population is compared with those observed in the countries characterized by a western model in terms of the epidemiological transition concept. Applying the SFD data, we can show correlations between average ages at death and shares of the deaths and life expectances both for men and women.

Grigoryev Yu. A. nvkzgig@nvkz.kuzbass.net

Soboleva S. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Soboleva S. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Keywords: number of deaths for leading causes of death average ages at death cause-of-death structure mortality dynamics mortality

Variable-based calculation of the people's life expectancies in the Vologda Oblast

The paper analyses the dependence of people's life expectancies and medical and demographic indicators in regions. A demographic situation in the Vologda Oblast shows a rise - its death rates down, birth rates and life expectancy up. Our variable-based calculations of the life expectancies in the region were made in assumption of downs in mortality and ups in death rates.

Lastochkina M. A. mashkop@mail.ru

Keywords: mortality life expectancy risks fertility population health

Risks of the Siberian demographic potential

The risks, which we consider principal for shaping the Siberian demographic potential, include depopulation, high mortality, especially among men who are 40 years old or younger, and the changed age-and-sex structure, we consider as principle ones since they predetermine the unfavorable conditions for Russian further economic development such as the reducing shares of children, teenagers and able-bodied population and a growing share of pensioners in the total regional population that assumes a higher demographic burden on the economically active population; public health deterioration; a significantly reduced non-equivalent migration turnover and replacement of the Russians by different ethnic migrants from Central and South-East Asia - all of them making the quality of the working population worse.

Soboleva S. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Smirnova N. Ie. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Chudayeva O. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Keywords: demographic potential energy-output ratio depopulation risks mortality demographic situation country

Health risks and how to measure them

The public health is considered as an important qualitative characteristic of the population and its resource as well as an integral indicator of communities' welfare. The paper analyses the key factors of morbidity, mortality and risks affected the population of different demographic groups in the Siberian Federal District. To measure such risks, we developed the indicators, and estimated their values, which we consider normal and advisable to be reached if we want to neutralize or mitigate any negative impacts on public health.

Soboleva S. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Smirnova N. Ie. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Chudayeva O. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Keywords: population health Siberia energy-output ratio Siberia risks morbidity mortality reproductive health