Content №4 от 2011

Risks of the Siberian demographic potential

The risks, which we consider principal for shaping the Siberian demographic potential, include depopulation, high mortality, especially among men who are 40 years old or younger, and the changed age-and-sex structure, we consider as principle ones since they predetermine the unfavorable conditions for Russian further economic development such as the reducing shares of children, teenagers and able-bodied population and a growing share of pensioners in the total regional population that assumes a higher demographic burden on the economically active population; public health deterioration; a significantly reduced non-equivalent migration turnover and replacement of the Russians by different ethnic migrants from Central and South-East Asia - all of them making the quality of the working population worse.

Soboleva S. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Smirnova N. Ie. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Chudayeva O. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Keywords: demographic potential energy-output ratio depopulation risks mortality demographic situation country