Search by keyword: demographic policy

Change in Reproductive Behavior in the Komi Republic: Factors and Consequences

The article analyzes the current fertility trends in the Komi Republic, changes in its structure concerning birth order, mother's age and marriageabi­lity. Basing on a cohort sociological study, we evaluate the impact of federal and regional demographic policy on the change in reproductive attitudes. The article states that recent public initiatives in this sphere have helped elongate positive fertility trend under a declining age structure, make up for births postponed by previous generations, increase the number of children per family, strengthen the role of the family infertility, as well as assisted in young families' early fertility. Federal and regional measures of demographic policy were the most beneficial for 1960's and 1970's generations who actualized them later in older age groups. Yet, regional measures of demographic policy aimed at encouraging having a third child appeared to be more universal. They did not only contribute to a further increase in fertility and faster rise in the proportion of higher-order births, but also improved reproductive planning, including among the youngest birth cohorts. We conclude that a gradual expansion of pro-family demographic measures can affect both the current fertility situation and its future prospects.

Popova L. A. popova@iespn.komisc.ru

Butrim N. A. butrim_dom@mail.ru

Shishkina M. A. shishkina@iespn.komisc.ru

Keywords: the Komi Republic reproductive attitudes maternity capital demographic policy intensity of fertility age structure fertility

Demographic Situation in Siberia against the Background of All-Russian Trends

The article examines the demographic situation in Siberia and Russia which has improved since 2006, after a long period of depopulation: birth rate is growing, life expectancy is rising, and natural increase has become positive. These are the first successful steps towards overcoming the demographic crisis. Still, birth rate, although positively increasing, is far from that of the late 1980s. According to the data for 2011, it makes only 75% of population replacement. We define the main obstacles preventing future childbirth figures from growing and underline that in order to further overcome the demographic crisis, a family with 3–4 children should become a goal for demographic policy in Russia. Such a family should acquire the largest economic and moral support from the government and the society

Soboleva S. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Keywords: Kyrgyz Republic Siberian Federal District demographic policy depopulation demographic potential mortality risks Russia

Aging population: problems and tendencies

We analyze the topical issues of mutual influence of the economy and population ageing taken place in the Russian regions. We formulate the basic arrangements the government should make towards the elderly people in the context of economic globalization and an increased influence of economic factors on the shifting age structure of the population.

Potanina Yu. A. yu_potanina@mail.ru

Keywords: region region demographic aging inter-regional inequality third age economic growth standard of living demographic policy

Regional opportunities in regulating a reproductive people's behavior

To make our recommendation on optimizing a demographic policy, we consider how people's reproductive behavior influences regional birth rates. Our case-study on the Vologda Oblast suggests that there is a trend to have a few children in families as people's reproductive plans could not be realized because of people's lack of confidence in the future economic stability in the country or stable family partner's relationships, or their dissatisfaction with their incomes, housing conditions, and healthcare and educational services. Within our case-study we developed the recommendations on the objectives to be included in the demographic policy for the Vologda Oblast and an interagency coordination plan to ensure higher birth rates in this region.

Dobrokhleb V. G. vdobrokhleb@mail.ru

Shabunova А. A. aas@vscc.ac.ru

Kalachikova O. N. onk82@yandex.ru

Keywords: depopulation fertility depopulation demographic policy management Vologda Oblast

Demographic policy in Northern Russia: peculiarities and priorities

The paper proves that a demographic crisis in Northern Russia is much deeper than the official vital statistics shows. The most severe problems are the young age-specific mortality patterns; a high share of deaths due to external factors and diseases of exogenous etiology; low birth rates among those who live in traditionally Russian Northern areas, and among Aboriginals who live in the areas with the completed demographic transition; a high degree of family life disruption; and interdependence between the uncompleted demographic transition of Northern Aboriginal peoples and their unfavorable qualitative birth characteristics and high child mortality. Just they predetermine the goals and tasks of Northern demographic policy

Popova L. A. popova@iespn.komisc.ru

Keywords: demographic policy marital and family relationship quantitative and qualitative aspects of natality child mortality life expectancy demographic transition age pattern natural population decline Northern areas

Priorities and key orientations of Siberian demographic policy

The paper considers the initial demographic situation of Siberia in the latest decade as well as the negative trends of prolonged character. Assuming an innovation scenario of the economic development in Siberia, the author describes a future demographic situation applying estimations of size and sex-age structure of the population in future. The author also offers the mechanism of demographic policy considered as a set of managerial, informational and legal measures, and describes the stages of the policy.

Soboleva S. V. soboleva@ieie.nsc.ru

Keywords: demographic policy depopulation excess mortality demographic development trends stages mechanisms innovation development

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