Search by keyword: scenarios
Assessing potential growths in Russian regions through regional phenotypes
The paper offers a technique based on regional phenotypes for calculation of anticipated composite regional indices. We present our calculation of such indices for the period till 2015 through using the data covering 2000-2007.
Suspitsyn S. A. susp@ieie.nsc.ru
Keywords: regional policy scenarios regional policy
Selecting a scenario of industrial development in Sakhalin Oblast
The author proposes an indicator - a coefficient of regional innovation readiness - for using in analysis, and shows how it can be quantified. The paper shows an intimate connection between such coefficient and a labor productivity growth. Having quantified the parameters of industrial development in the Sakhalin Oblast, the author shows that, for the period up to 2025, this region will mainly develop according to an investment scenario. Some economic inertia will also be in effect.
Khoroshavin A. V. dev-71@rambler.ru
Keywords: Sakhalin Oblast Sakhalin Oblast scenarios industrial policy structure scenarios
Improving the applied future energy consumption techniques
Having analyzed the Russian applied methodologies for electricity demand forecasting, the author focuses on regional components, and shows some dispute aspects. The author offers and validates the ways of how to improve the applied methodology. The paper presents the data concerning the Krasnoyarsk Kray and calculated according to both current methodology and improved one.
Lyubimova Ye. V. dukat@academ.org or kat@ieie.nsc.ru
Keywords: electric power consumption region scenarios region economy forecast methodology
