Content №4 от 2002

Regional forecasting: prices and outputs

Regional forecasts are considered on the basis of the national-economic approach conventionally used at the IEIE SB RAS. It allows to investigate the economy of an individual large region against the trends in other regions and in the national terms. The paper shows some special features in the system of the inter-industry and inter-region distribution of generated products and incomes that appeared in the course of market reformation. These features of the system must be taken into account at the model level. In continuation of the authors' earlier work, the methodology for use of the Markov models in the analysis of national economic processes at the international level is given.

Pavlov V. N.

Zaikin V. S.

Iershov Iu. S.

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