Content №3 от 2008

Prospects in the development of Siberian forestry in the context of changing foreign market environment

The paper analyzes how the changes in Russian foreign trade policy influence on the situation in a forestry complex of a macroregion (a case-study for Siberia). We focused on the market of China considered as a major trade partner of Siberia. We also analyzed the supply-and-demand equilibrium of Chinese lumber market and the relatively static influence of tariff rates on the volume of forestry export, and showed the effective and ineffective mechanisms for the limber export management. We present the assessment of one of the housing industries – industry of wooden houses, and consider its development as a promising variant for Russia if the protectionist trade policy continues.

Lipin A. S. lipin@ieie.nsc.ru

Gayduk E. G.

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