Content №4 от 2006

Novosibirsk Oblast Development Strategy: Extreme Scenarios within Socio-Economic Development Strategy

The article discusses the preliminary long-range forecasts being made within the Long-term (up to 2025) Socio-economic Development Strategy for the Novosibirsk Oblast. The article includes the methodical instruments to create the extreme scenarios within a cone of the possible development trajectories for the Novosibirsk Oblast and to identify the criteria for choosing a key scenario. The authors also present their conclusions from the macroeconomic analysis and input-output balances if the accelerative or maximum development scenarios would be implemented.

Suspitsyn S. A. susp@ieie.nsc.ru

Suslov N. I. nsus@academ.org

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