Content №2 от 2018

Leaders and Outsiders in Survival of Economically Active Population: Regional Demographic Analysis

The article gives a sociostatic interpretation of the data on the survival of Russian men and women derived from an estimation of the mortality risk probabilities in prime working years according to actuarial tables broken down by capital cities, krays, republics, oblasts, and federal districts. In the depo­pulation situation that is unfolding in the regions of Russia, the observed increase in life expectancy is recognized as an unstable trend. The reproduction prospects worsen due to decreasing total number of births in 2017. The tra­ditional value system of Russians’ self-preservative behavior is not changing fast enough: the population in the provinces is slow to assimilate modern concepts of healthy lifestyle (health transition). We propose a sociostatic methodology for assessing the culture level of the population’s mass preventive behavior. The article presents new results of estimating the probability of economically active men and women’s survival by the international labor standards. We suggest new approaches to carry out programs for promoting healthy lifestyle concepts and accelerating the health transition process in the eastern regions of Russia.

Kuzmin A. I. kuz53@list.ru

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